appraising the use of kmv model in predicting default of companies listed in tehran stock exchange

نویسندگان

رسول خوانساری

دانشگاه امام صادق (ع) میرفیض فلاح شمس

دانشگاه آزاد واحد علوم و تحقیقات تهران

چکیده

until now, different models are presented to predict the status of customer’s credit risk and possibility of bankruptcy. it seems necessarry to deploy a model that is not only based on historical data but also uses market data as index of current situation of customers and even their expectations about future status. the purpose of this article is using kmv model to predict bankruptcy of legal clients of iranian banks, and to evaluate accurancy of model too. data have been extracted from a sample of 40 public companies receiving loans from iranian banks in the years between 1386 and 1387 (h.sh.). this study is practical and uses a quantitative method. it has been observed that kmv model has the capability of predicting default, and discriminates between healthy and unhealthy companies. the model also can predict default of legal clients who receive loans from iranian banks.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Effect of Profitability Indices on the Capital Structure of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange

The main objective of this research is the index of profitability on the capital structure of listed companies on the Stock Exchange of Tehran. Statistical population consisted of all above companies that 138 companies were selected in time zone of 2011-2014 after screening method (systematic elimination). The research method is descriptive and correlation and study variable is profitability in...

متن کامل

The Effect of CEO Tenure and Tax Planning of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange

Taxes are a motivating factor in many corporate decisions. Recent evidence shows that managerial actions designed solely to minimize corporate taxes through tax aggressive activities. This study was designed to investigate the relationship between one of the features of management as (CEO Tenure) on Tax Planning has been studied. This research in terms of the objective applied research and in t...

متن کامل

The Effect of Investment on the Financing of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange

In the world and in our country, Iran, many researches have been done in the field of financing, but due to the importance of this issue, it needs more thought and contemplation. Therefore, this study assessed “the impact of investments on financing of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange”. The statistical sample is consisted of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange during a fi...

متن کامل

The Effect of Audit Quality on Costs Stickiness in Manufacturing Companies Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange

One of the most fundamental presumptions of management audit shows that change in costs is in fir correlation with increase and decrease in activity level. However, this assumption is discussed with considering the cost stickiness by Anderson et al. it means that the amount of increase in costs with the increase in activity level is more than reduction in costs per same amount of reduction in a...

متن کامل

Impact of Speculative Bubble on Stock Returns in Companies Listed on Tehran Stock Exchange

Recent studies show that individual investors tend to speculate on stock markets and hold shares with a lottery-like return. For this speculation of people have a significant impact on stock returns, individual investors must trade the same shares with the same time. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of the speculative bubble on the stock returns of companies in Iran. Foll...

متن کامل

The Effect of Internal Control Weakness on Investment Efficiency of Companies Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange

This study explores the effect of internal control weakness on investment efficiency of companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange. The statistical population included all companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange during the time period 2012-2015. Purposive sampling was the sampling method. Given the theoretical principles and the research literature, two hypotheses were proposed which were test...

متن کامل

میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023